MLB picks and expert predictions: Dominant Dodgers to overpower Padres

Our expert MLB handicapper John Lepore looks ahead to Sunday night's clash between the San Diego Padres and the Los Angeles Dodgers...

Andrew Heaney LA Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Andrew Heaney - © Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

Best baseball offers 2022

Loading
Baseball

John Lepore

MLB Betting Expert

John is a respected MLB analyst, author and handicapper who has over 10 years' experience of betting big on baseball.

MLB expert picks: San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Sunday, September 4: 7.00 EDT)

FixtureSan Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers
WhenSunday, September 4, 7:00 EDT
Likely StartersMike Clevinger vs. Andrew Heaney
Where to watchESPN

The Los Angeles Dodgers continue to be the best team in baseball. They logged their 90th win before September 1st. They are a juggernaut and should lock up the top seed in the National League in a few weeks. Meanwhile, their division rivals, the San Diego Padres, continue to fight to keep that last Wild Card spot. Only 2.5 games ahead of the Milwaukee Brewers, the Padres will need every win they can get over the final four weeks of the season. 

Mike Clevinger goes for the Padres. The right-hander has been up and down this season. He still has a good 3.59 ERA. His strikeout rate is at its highest since 2019 and his walk rate is the lowest of his career. Clevinger has a talent for inducing soft contact with an average exit velocity of 87.2 (MLB average is 88.4). He will need everything working for him against the Dodgers. 

Andrew Heaney has found new life in a Dodger uniform. While he has had a short leash recently, the lefty has 28 strikeouts in his past 15.2 innings. He has given up three or fewer runs in all 10 of his starts this season. He is a new pitcher lately and could have his way with the Padres. However, in the outing he had against San Diego on August 6th, Heaney struck out just three which was the fewest of the season.  

Padres player to watch: Juan Soto 

While Soto hasn’t been the dominant player the Padres envisioned, he has been better than Josh Bell and Brandon Drury, their other two big trade deadline acquisitions. Soto is slashing .269/.424/.449 with three home runs and six RBIs in 23 games for San Diego. He has scored 18 runs in that time and has been obviously his usual on-base machine. He is starting his second career with a new team; Soto will be looking to bring his game to another level before a new contract in a couple of years. 

Dodgers player to watch: Mookie Betts 

While there are other players that get hyped up in the major leagues much more like Aaron Judge or Mike Trout, make no mistake, Betts is in that top tier with them. Betts is third in the NL behind Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado in WAR and has 32 home runs with a .917 OPS. He has also chipped in 12 stolen bases and leads the league in runs scored with 101. Betts also gets it done with the glove, winning five Gold Gloves already at just 29 years old. He is one of the best and will be a Hall of Famer when his career is over. 

San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers conclusion and prediction 

The Dodgers are an absolute force right now. They have also won eight of the 10 games against the Padres this season so far outscoring them 55-18. Clevinger has been a little inconsistent and Heaney seems to have found his groove at the right time. Despite Los Angeles likely being heavy favorites, I’ll take them to win this one with some power to show as well. 

MLB Picks: 

Dodgers if the line is -130 or better 

Over if the line is 7.5 or better 

Betts Over 1.5 total bases if the line is +110 or better 

MLB
9/30/2022, 5:05 PM
Philadelphia
Philadelphia @
Washington
Washington
MLB
9/30/2022, 6:20 PM
Cincinnati
Cincinnati @
Chi. Cubs
Chi. Cubs
MLB
9/30/2022, 11:05 PM
Philadelphia
Philadelphia @
Washington
Washington
MLB
9/30/2022, 11:05 PM
Baltimore
Baltimore @
NY Yankees
NY Yankees
MLB
9/30/2022, 11:07 PM
Boston
Boston @
Toronto
Toronto
MLB
9/30/2022, 11:10 PM
Kansas City
Kansas City @
Cleveland
Cleveland
MLB
9/30/2022, 11:10 PM
Minnesota
Minnesota @
Detroit
Detroit
MLB
9/30/2022, 11:20 PM
NY Mets
NY Mets @
Atlanta
Atlanta
MLB
10/1/2022, 12:10 AM
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay @
Houston
Houston
MLB
10/1/2022, 12:10 AM
Miami
Miami @
Milwaukee
Milwaukee
MLB
10/1/2022, 12:15 AM
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh @
St. Louis
St. Louis
MLB
10/1/2022, 1:38 AM
Texas
Texas @
LA Angels
LA Angels
MLB
10/1/2022, 1:40 AM
Oakland
Oakland @
Seattle
Seattle
MLB
10/1/2022, 1:40 AM
Chi. White Sox
Chi. White Sox @
San Diego
San Diego
MLB
10/1/2022, 2:10 AM
Colorado
Colorado @
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
MLB
10/1/2022, 2:15 AM
Arizona
Arizona @
San Francisco
San Francisco
MLB
10/1/2022, 5:05 PM
Baltimore
Baltimore @
NY Yankees
NY Yankees
MLB
10/1/2022, 5:05 PM
Philadelphia
Philadelphia @
Washington
Washington
MLB
10/1/2022, 6:20 PM
Cincinnati
Cincinnati @
Chi. Cubs
Chi. Cubs
MLB
10/1/2022, 7:07 PM
Boston
Boston @
Toronto
Toronto
MLB
10/1/2022, 8:05 PM
Arizona
Arizona @
San Francisco
San Francisco
MLB
10/1/2022, 8:10 PM
Oakland
Oakland @
Seattle
Seattle
MLB
10/1/2022, 10:10 PM
Minnesota
Minnesota @
Detroit
Detroit
MLB
10/1/2022, 10:10 PM
Kansas City
Kansas City @
Cleveland
Cleveland
MLB
10/1/2022, 11:10 PM
Miami
Miami @
Milwaukee
Milwaukee
MLB
10/1/2022, 11:15 PM
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh @
St. Louis
St. Louis
MLB
10/1/2022, 11:20 PM
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay @
Houston
Houston
MLB
10/1/2022, 11:20 PM
NY Mets
NY Mets @
Atlanta
Atlanta
MLB
10/2/2022, 12:40 AM
Chi. White Sox
Chi. White Sox @
San Diego
San Diego
MLB
10/2/2022, 1:07 AM
Texas
Texas @
LA Angels
LA Angels
MLB
10/2/2022, 1:10 AM
Colorado
Colorado @
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
MLB
10/2/2022, 4:10 PM
Minnesota
Minnesota @
Detroit
Detroit
MLB
10/2/2022, 5:35 PM
Baltimore
Baltimore @
NY Yankees
NY Yankees
MLB
10/2/2022, 5:35 PM
Philadelphia
Philadelphia @
Washington
Washington
MLB
10/2/2022, 5:37 PM
Boston
Boston @
Toronto
Toronto
MLB
10/2/2022, 5:40 PM
Kansas City
Kansas City @
Cleveland
Cleveland
MLB
10/2/2022, 6:10 PM
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay @
Houston
Houston
MLB
10/2/2022, 6:10 PM
Miami
Miami @
Milwaukee
Milwaukee
MLB
10/2/2022, 6:15 PM
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh @
St. Louis
St. Louis
MLB
10/2/2022, 6:20 PM
Cincinnati
Cincinnati @
Chi. Cubs
Chi. Cubs
MLB
10/2/2022, 8:05 PM
Arizona
Arizona @
San Francisco
San Francisco
MLB
10/2/2022, 8:07 PM
Texas
Texas @
LA Angels
LA Angels
MLB
10/2/2022, 8:10 PM
Oakland
Oakland @
Seattle
Seattle
MLB
10/2/2022, 8:10 PM
Chi. White Sox
Chi. White Sox @
San Diego
San Diego
MLB
10/2/2022, 8:10 PM
Colorado
Colorado @
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
MLB
10/2/2022, 11:08 PM
NY Mets
NY Mets @
Atlanta
Atlanta
MLB
10/3/2022, 10:10 PM
Kansas City
Kansas City @
Cleveland
Cleveland
MLB
10/3/2022, 10:35 PM
St. Louis
St. Louis @
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
MLB
10/3/2022, 10:40 PM
Chi. Cubs
Chi. Cubs @
Cincinnati
Cincinnati
MLB
10/3/2022, 10:40 PM
Atlanta
Atlanta @
Miami
Miami
MLB
10/3/2022, 11:05 PM
NY Yankees
NY Yankees @
Texas
Texas
MLB
10/3/2022, 11:05 PM
Toronto
Toronto @
Baltimore
Baltimore
MLB
10/3/2022, 11:10 PM
Washington
Washington @
NY Mets
NY Mets
MLB
10/3/2022, 11:10 PM
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay @
Boston
Boston
MLB
10/3/2022, 11:40 PM
Arizona
Arizona @
Milwaukee
Milwaukee
MLB
10/4/2022, 12:10 AM
Philadelphia
Philadelphia @
Houston
Houston
MLB
10/4/2022, 12:10 AM
Minnesota
Minnesota @
Chi. White Sox
Chi. White Sox
MLB
10/4/2022, 1:40 AM
Detroit
Detroit @
Seattle
Seattle
MLB
10/4/2022, 1:40 AM
San Francisco
San Francisco @
San Diego
San Diego
MLB
10/4/2022, 1:40 AM
LA Angels
LA Angels @
Oakland
Oakland
MLB
10/4/2022, 2:10 AM
Colorado
Colorado @
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
MLB
10/4/2022, 6:05 PM
NY Yankees
NY Yankees @
Texas
Texas
MLB
10/4/2022, 10:10 PM
Detroit
Detroit @
Seattle
Seattle
MLB
10/4/2022, 10:10 PM
Kansas City
Kansas City @
Cleveland
Cleveland
MLB
10/4/2022, 10:35 PM
St. Louis
St. Louis @
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
MLB
10/4/2022, 10:40 PM
Atlanta
Atlanta @
Miami
Miami
MLB
10/4/2022, 10:40 PM
Chi. Cubs
Chi. Cubs @
Cincinnati
Cincinnati
MLB
10/4/2022, 11:05 PM
Toronto
Toronto @
Baltimore
Baltimore
MLB
10/4/2022, 11:10 PM
Washington
Washington @
NY Mets
NY Mets
MLB
10/4/2022, 11:10 PM
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay @
Boston
Boston
MLB
10/4/2022, 11:40 PM
Arizona
Arizona @
Milwaukee
Milwaukee
MLB
10/5/2022, 12:05 AM
NY Yankees
NY Yankees @
Texas
Texas
MLB
10/5/2022, 12:10 AM
Philadelphia
Philadelphia @
Houston
Houston
MLB
10/5/2022, 12:10 AM
Minnesota
Minnesota @
Chi. White Sox
Chi. White Sox
MLB
10/5/2022, 1:10 AM
Detroit
Detroit @
Seattle
Seattle
MLB
10/5/2022, 1:40 AM
San Francisco
San Francisco @
San Diego
San Diego
MLB
10/5/2022, 1:40 AM
LA Angels
LA Angels @
Oakland
Oakland
MLB
10/5/2022, 2:10 AM
Colorado
Colorado @
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
MLB
10/5/2022, 8:00 PM
LA Angels
LA Angels @
Oakland
Oakland
MLB
10/5/2022, 8:05 PM
Toronto
Toronto @
Baltimore
Baltimore
MLB
10/5/2022, 8:05 PM
NY Yankees
NY Yankees @
Texas
Texas
MLB
10/5/2022, 8:05 PM
St. Louis
St. Louis @
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
MLB
10/5/2022, 8:10 PM
Philadelphia
Philadelphia @
Houston
Houston
MLB
10/5/2022, 8:10 PM
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay @
Boston
Boston
MLB
10/5/2022, 8:10 PM
Minnesota
Minnesota @
Chi. White Sox
Chi. White Sox
MLB
10/5/2022, 8:10 PM
San Francisco
San Francisco @
San Diego
San Diego
MLB
10/5/2022, 8:10 PM
Detroit
Detroit @
Seattle
Seattle
MLB
10/5/2022, 8:10 PM
Arizona
Arizona @
Milwaukee
Milwaukee
MLB
10/5/2022, 8:10 PM
Washington
Washington @
NY Mets
NY Mets
MLB
10/5/2022, 8:10 PM
Kansas City
Kansas City @
Cleveland
Cleveland
MLB
10/5/2022, 8:10 PM
Chi. Cubs
Chi. Cubs @
Cincinnati
Cincinnati
MLB
10/5/2022, 8:10 PM
Atlanta
Atlanta @
Miami
Miami
MLB
10/5/2022, 8:20 PM
Colorado
Colorado @
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers

Last updated: Sep 30, 3:19 AM UTC

MLB Odds

Moneyline
Run Line
Total
Odds Settings
Game
Sep 30, 22 @ 1:38 AM UTC
Oakland
Oakland @
LA Angels
LA Angels
Sep 30, 22 @ 1:40 AM UTC
Texas
Texas @
Seattle
Seattle
Sep 30, 22 @ 1:40 AM UTC
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers @
San Diego
San Diego
Sep 30, 22 @ 1:45 AM UTC
Colorado
Colorado @
San Francisco
San Francisco

Odds updated: Sep 30, 3:20 AM UTC

MLB standings

AL
NL
  • Division
  • American League Central
  • American League East
  • American League West
  • All Divisions
American League Central W L Pct GB Home Away Conf Div NL Money OU
1 Cleveland Cleveland 88 68 .564 0.0 42-33 46-35 76-60 43-27 12-8 1776 72-78-6
2 Chi. White Sox Chi. White Sox 77 79 .494 11.0 35-43 42-36 68-71 35-38 9-8 -1128 70-78-8
3 Minnesota Minnesota 76 80 .487 12.0 46-35 30-45 68-68 37-33 8-12 -1480 71-73-11
4 Detroit Detroit 63 92 .406 24.5 33-45 30-47 52-83 32-41 11-9 -689 60-82-12
5 Kansas City Kansas City 63 93 .404 25.0 39-42 24-51 56-80 31-39 7-13 -1233 78-76-2

Last updated: Sep 30, 3:00 AM UTC