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TLorenzo

Tommy Lorenzo

Sports betting expert

Tommy’s love of sports betting blossomed in the early 1990s as he began making regular trips to Las Vegas sportsbooks. The winner of ESPN Insider’s 2014 Las Vegas Super Bowl Prop contest, Tommy started his own sports betting site 10 years ago and uses data and analytics to make selections on college basketball and Major League Baseball.   

College basketball picks: 10-12 March

MatchupEast Carolina Pirates vs Cincinnati Bearcats
DateThursday, 10 March
Time1.00pm (ET)
VenueDickies Arena, Fort Worth, Texas
TVESPNU

College basketball predictions can actually get easier come conference tournament time as you generally see the best out of most teams in this setting.

Some teams that are already headed to March Madness may take the foot off of the pedal a bit, but NCAA Tournament seeding and staying sharp is still important to most squads. Then there are the other teams whose lone chance to make the big dance is to win their conference tournaments, and we’ve all seen a Cinderella moment or two at this time of year. When assessing teams for your college basketball picks during these conference tournaments: current form and underlying statistical numbers can be more important than their recent win-loss records. A perfect example of that is the point spread selection below.

The Cincinnati Bearcats are a team headed in the wrong direction. In spite of their positive regular season record of 17-14, the Bearcats ended the season on a five game losing streak and lost eight of their last ten games overall. During their five game losing streak Cincinnati only covered the point spread once and suffered an embarrassing defeat at home to a 20-loss South Florida team. This simply looks like a squad that has not made proper adjustments to their approach and could very well be playing the season out.

The East Carolina Pirates gave Wichita State all they could handle this past weekend in their regular season finale. In a tough road spot on Wichita State’s senior day: the Pirates were down only one point with five minutes to play before Wichita State went on a run to keep the game out of reach. East Carolina did however cover the +10 point spread and improved their road ATS record to a solid 6-3 (67%). An important stat to keep in mind as this will be a road/neutral site game. Underlying statistical numbers show East Carolina’s consistency in limiting turnovers as well as rising assist numbers: both showing the Pirates are being smart with the ball on offense, which will be critical in keeping this game close vs Cincinnati. A final caveat to consider is ‘the third time is the charm’ angle. Cincinnati has defeated East Carolina twice in conference play this season and it is hard to beat a team three times in a row. This holds true here as Cincinnati’s current form is nothing close to what it was earlier in the season.

The NCAAB One to Watch: Tristen Newton, East Carolina

East Carolina sophomore guard Tristen Newton was selected to the 2022 All-American Athletic Conference (AAC) Second Team, with good reason. His final regular season numbers have him sitting at number three in scoring in the entire AAC; he also is number two in assists (5 per game) and puts up a strong 87% free throw percentage.

Newton can be very explosive and has topped 30 points in several games this season. He is a sure double-digit point contributor and has already performed well vs Cincinnati, reaching double figures in scoring in both matchups earlier this season. Tristen Newton is the type of player that should thrive in this tournament environment.

Summary

  • East Carolina holds a 6-3 (67%) ATS record away from home.

  • East Carolina has covered the spread in four out of their last five games.

  • East Carolina holds a 16-13 (55%) ATS record in all games this season.

  • Cincinnati is 2-6 (25%) ATS in their last 8 games.

  • Cincinnati holds a 10-17 (37%) ATS record in all games this season.

NCAAB Pick:

- East Carolina +5

NCAAB Quick Picks:

- MARQUETTE -2.5 vs Creighton (Thursday March 10 2:30pm ET) Fox Sports 1

- FORDHAM +5 vs George Mason (Thursday March 10 Noon ET) USA Network

- IOWA STATE +7 vs Texas Tech (Thursday March 10 9:30pm ET) ESPN 2

- MIAMI of OHIO +5.5 vs Kent State (Thursday March 10 4pm ET) ESPN+

- BAYLOR -8.5 vs Oklahoma (Thursday March 10 7pm ET) ESPN

NCAAB Odds

Moneyline
Spread
Total
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Odds updated: Jun 28, 3:45 AM UTC

NCAAB Standings

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  • Division
  • America East
  • All Divisions
Team Conf W L Pct Home Away Div Ats OU
1 Vermont Vermont 17-1 25 5 .833 14-0 11-5 0-0 16-13-0 17-12-0
2 UMBC UMBC 11-7 16 13 .552 10-4 6-9 0-0 13-15-0 15-13-0
3 Stony Brook Stony Brook 10-8 18 13 .581 13-4 5-9 0-0 12-18-0 19-11-0
4 New Hampshire New Hampshire 10-8 15 12 .556 10-3 5-9 0-0 13-12-0 10-15-0
5 Albany Albany 9-9 13 17 .433 4-9 9-8 0-0 13-15-2 11-19-0
6 Hartford Hartford 9-9 11 19 .367 6-5 5-14 0-0 15-15-0 18-10-2
7 Binghamton Binghamton 8-10 11 16 .407 5-8 6-8 0-0 12-12-1 10-15-0
8 Massachusetts Lowell Massachusetts Lowell 7-11 15 15 .500 9-6 6-9 0-0 14-13-0 11-16-0
9 NJIT NJIT 6-12 11 17 .393 6-8 5-9 0-0 13-14-0 12-15-0
10 Maine Maine 3-15 6 23 .207 5-9 1-14 0-0 12-13-1 16-10-0

Last updated: Jun 28, 3:09 AM UTC

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