Saul Canelo Alvarez vs Gennadiy Golovkin 3 pick and betting odds: Boxing fans finally get trilogy fight September 17th - and there's a massive favorite

Canelo vs GGGPreview
WhereLas Vegas, Nevada
WhenSeptember 17, 11pm ET
Canelo odds-390
GGG odds+290
Draw odds+2000

Two of boxing’s biggest names collide for the third time in what will undoubtedly be one of the richest and most anticipated fights of 2022.

Having already shared 24 completed rounds over two epic encounters, the rivalry between Alvarez and Golovkin will go down as one of the finest of its generation, but each man will be determined to stamp their authority on the trilogy here with a win more decisive than anything seen in their previous battles.

After much mind games, delay, and out-of-the-ring politics, the pair first met in September 2017 - almost five years to the day before this third fight - in a gargantuan middleweight main event at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. It proved to be an instant classic. A display of boxing at its very highest level was, however, eventually declared as a split draw, ratified by a set of scorecards perhaps best remembered for judge Adalaide Byrd’s absurd 118-110 tally - or 10-2 in rounds - in favor of the Mexican. While the other two scorecards were far more palatable - a 114-114 tie and 115-113 in favor of Golovkin - the overwhelming public opinion was that the Kazakh had done enough. A blockbuster rematch was, at once, inevitable.

Saul Canelo Alvarez and Gennadiy Golovkin in action. © Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Canelo and GGG have gone to war over 24 rounds, but we're still no closer to settling the debate of who's better. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

The second fight a year later - delayed after Canelo failed a drugs test in February 2018 - was another outstanding nip-and-tuck affair but a majority decision for Alvarez was, this time, something much closer to the correct result.

The trilogy bout will take place at super-middleweight - eight pounds north of a division in which Golovkin has campaigned for his entire career - and, at the age of 40, he will come into the fight a firm underdog. Current odds have the popular ‘GGG’ hovering around a three-to-one shot (+333), but a credible win last time out on the road in Japan against Ryota Murata will see him in confident mood, particularly with Canelo’s recent loss, albeit up at light-heavyweight where he was testing his physical limits.

At 168lb, though, the Mexican is the undisputed champion - holding all four major belts - and it will be tough to pick against him settling the score once and for all. The outright odds of -400 may be too slim for many, but a decision win is most likely and will be a more appetizing price when released.

Canelo vs GGG 3 free betting pick:

Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez by decision

Canelo vs GGG tale of the tape

CaneloTale of the tapeGGG
57-2, 39KOsRecord42-1-1, 37KOs

What did Canelo say about the Golovkin fight?

Canelo Alvarez will be looking to finish the rivalry once and for all
Canelo Alvarez will be looking to finish the rivalry once and for all

'It’s always been very personal with him. That will never go away. After we finished the two fights, it still feels the same [very personal]. He [Golovkin] has never stopped talking about me.

'If you see, I never mentioned his name. I’ve always been in his mouth, he’s always talked about me, and that makes it even more personal.

'The fact that there is this rivalry puts an extra element there. It makes me train harder. I try harder. Personally, I sometimes feel better that it exists.'

Photo credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Canelo vs GGG 3 live stream

Boxing fans can stream Canelo's next fight against GGG live on DAZN. The event will be broadcast in over 200 countries around the world and is available to stream on smartphone, desktop and Amazon Fire Stick.

What has Golovkin said about the Canelo fight?

Golovkin has been a fantastic fighter throughout his career
Golovkin has been a fantastic fighter throughout his career

'I don't think that my rivalry with Canelo Alvarez is the only thing that characterizes my career.

'Just to point out a few things: I am the record-holder for the number of defenses—21 defenses. I have the biggest number of knockouts. And I think there are people who will remember me by that.

'There are people to whom it would matter more.'

Pic Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

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Tom Craze

Expert boxing handicapper and betting show host

Boxing expert and handicapper. Host of The Boxing Betting Show and contributor to the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board. Full bio here.

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