French Open 2022 Day 6: Expert picks & predictions every day from Roland-Garros
Vinny is a freelance writer who started putting his picks out there in 2017. Being a professional bettor for over seven years and following the yellow ball day in, day out, Vinny tries to stay ahead of the curve by scouting new talent on the lower tours as well. Full bio here.
|When||May 22 - June 5|
|How to Watch||ESPN & CBS|
Angelique Kerber (21) vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Angelique Kerber survived another round, beating Elsa Jacquemot on Wednesday. The young French had two break points at 5-5 in the second set, but Kerber was able to withstand and clinch the second-set tiebreak. Still, the German’s movement regressed repeatedly after she got past Magdalena Fręch on her last leg. The grueling battle against the Pole as well as all the three-set matches on her way to the title in Strasbourg will pay their toll at some point. Aliaksandra Sasnovich is another player Kerber beat in Strasbourg.
The Belarusian started last week’s match as the favorite and today’s odds can only be a byproduct of Kerber’s recent results. Her level of play is still far from convincing and while Fręch had all the chances to beat her, Jacquemot doesn’t possess the game to compete with the top guns yet. However, Sasnovich is a different animal. She beat Wang Xinyu in straight sets and outplayed US Open champion Emma Raducanu in sets two and three. Her powerful groundstrokes will move Kerber around the court once more. After all the tennis the German has played, Sasnovich should be able to wear her down and move into round three of Roland Garros for the first time.
French Open Day 6 Pick:
Aliaksandra Sasnovich ML at +100
Varvara Gracheva vs Elise Mertens (31)
Elise Mertens has been out of form for most parts of the 2022 tennis season. A leg injury forced her to retire from her match against Rebecca Peterson in Istanbul and she has since struggled to find the consistency that usually is a trademark for her game. However, in her first-round win against Elena-Gabriela Ruse, Mertens looked much-improved again, breaking the Romanian six times in eight service games.
Mertens usually serves as a measuring stick in women’s tennis as she beats the players she’s supposed to beat, but falls short against the very best. Against Gracheva, the Belgian should be able to dictate play as she’s the more powerful player of the two. Against Astra Sharma and Ajla Tomljanović, Gracheva’s consistent game wore down the Australians, however, I don’t see the same happening to Mertens, who seems to have regained her consistency. Everything Gracheva does, Mertens can do better and therefore, I’m betting the Belgian to win in straight sets.
French Open Day 6 Pick:
Elise Mertens -1.5 sets at +113
Victoria Azarenka (15) vs Jil Teichmann (23)
In what should be a very balanced matchup, the games total seems a tad low in the third-round encounter between Victoria Azarenka and Jil Teichmann. Azarenka beat Teichmann in straight sets at this year’s Australian Open, however, Teichmann prefers slower courts and had a very strong clay-court season to date. The Swiss went to the semifinals in Madrid before an injury stopped her at the quarterfinal stage in Rome.
Azarenka only lost to Amanda Anisimova in Madrid and was able to go toe-to-toe with Iga Świątek for one and a half hours in Rome. Azarenka and Teichmann should be motivated even more when looking at the French Open draw as they are presented a unique opportunity to move to the quarterfinals, facing the winner of Sloane Stephens and Diane Parry in round four. Neither of them should be giving in easily, which is why I see value on the over markets here.
French Open Day 6 Pick:
Over 20.5 games at -119
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Roland-Garros, Paris, France
5/22/2022 - 6/5/2022
The Stade Roland-Garros is one of the most famous tennis venues in the world, and certainly the most prestigious in France.
Located to the west of Paris, Roland-Garros was built in 1928 and named after the famous French aviator who was also a World War One flying ace.
It now features 20 courts, with the three most famous named after French tennis legends Philippe Chatrier, Suzanne Lenglen and Simonne Mathieu.
The surfaces of all the courts at Roland-Garros are coated with the brick-red clay that makes the French Open so distinctive and so tough to win.