NBA moneyline explained
Who do you think will win? If you want a simple way to bet on basketball, bet the moneyline.
James is a freelance sports writer who specialises in the NBA - his work has been published across multiple sites including OddsUSA and FanSided. Full bio here.
The semifinal round in both conferences has concluded in the 2022 NBA playoffs. This means there are just four teams left vying for basketball’s ultimate prize. In the Eastern Conference the top-seeded Miami Heat take on the second-seeded Boston Celtics. Here is everything you need to need to know about the top two teams in the East looking to advance to the NBA Finals.
Although they finished with the second-best record in the conference, the Boston Celtics’ season was in peril back in January. They were the No. 10 seed and there was talk about possibly breaking up the tandem of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. The Celtics closed out the regular season winning 28 of their last 35 games – an 80 percent winning rate — and they didn’t clinch the number two seed until the last game of the season. Entering the playoffs as one of the hottest teams in the association, the Celtics dispatched the Brooklyn Nets in four games in the opening round. This was no small feat considering the Nets were once the prohibitive favorites to win it all.
Boston’s reward for getting past Brooklyn was a second-round matchup against the defending champion Milwaukee Bucks. The home-court advantage that Boston fought for was instantly taken away, as the Bucks won the series opener. The two teams alternated wins through the first six games, with each ball club winning twice on the opponent’s home court. This trend set up an epic game seven in a series where both teams played better on the road (2-1) compared to home (1-2) through the first six games.
After falling behind early, the Celtics outscored the Bucks 61-38 in the second half on their way to a 109-81 victory. One of the major factors that contributed to Boston’s game seven victory was the disparity from the three-point line. The Celtics shot 22-for-55 from beyond the arc (40 percent), while the Bucks were just 4-for-33 (12.1 percent). Despite Giannis Antetokounmpo putting together another solid performance (25 points, 20 rebounds, and nine assists), the disparity from long range was too much for the Bucks to overcome. That and Khris Middleton missed the entire series with a sprained MCL ligament in his left knee. With the Bucks bowing out to the Celtics in seven games, there will be a new NBA champion this year.
On the flip side of the Eastern Conference Finals matchup, we have the Miami Heat. After finishing the season with the best record in the conference, Miami eliminated the Atlanta Hawks in five games, setting the team up with a second-round matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers. Miami took the first two games of the season while Joel Embiid was sidelined with an eye injury. However, the Sixers responded once Embiid returned to the mix and won the next two games. With the series being reduced to a best-of-three scenario, Miami responded with a blowout 120-85 win in Game 5. Not wanting a do-or-die game seven, the Heat closed out the Sixers 99-90 to advance to their second conference finals in the last three years. It is worth mentioning that Miami’s last trip to the conference finals in 2020 produced the team’s first NBA Finals appearance since 2014. It will be interesting to see if this version of the team will have the same success.
During the regular season, the Celtics dominated the Heat. They won the first of three meetings between the two teams 95-78. In the second meeting, the Celtics raced out to a 27-14 lead. And while the game was somewhat close at the intermission (Celtics-54, Heat-45), Boston outscored Miami by a 40-25 margin in the third quarter, cruising to a 122-92 victory. Miami finally broke into the win column in the third regular-season meeting. In that contest, four of the five Miami starters reached double-figures, propelling the team to a 106-98 victory. Although the Celtics did dominate in their two wins over Miami this season, we should not expect that to heavily impact this conference finals matchup. As was the case with the Bucks-Celtics matchup, this series will be an interesting showdown between the two best teams in the conference.
Jayson Tatum is our Celtics player to watch in this series. In the three-game set against the Heat during the regular season, he averaged a rather pedestrian 17.7 points per contest. However, in the seven-game series against Milwaukee, Tatum averaged 27.6 points per outing. Not only that, but he averaged 32 points per contest in Boston’s four wins while scoring just 21.7 points in the team’s three losses. While Boston does have other players who can step up on a given night (namely Jaylen Brown and Marcus Smart), Tatum will need to play well for Boston’s postseason run to continue.
The Miami Heat player to watch this series is Jimmy Butler (aka. Jimmy Buckets). He led the Heat in scoring this season with 21.4 points per game. And he has been nothing short of spectacular for Miami during these playoffs. Not only is he leading the team in scoring (28.7 points per contest), but he is also averaging a team-high 5.4 assists and 2.1 steals per outing as well. In the six-game set against the Sixers, Butler compiled averages of 27.5 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 5.5 assists per game on 51.5 percent shooting from the field.
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First, this will be a series that will go the distance. While the Celtics looked impressive against the Bucks in stretches, look for the Heat to win this series. They have the best scoring defense in the playoffs, limiting their opponents to 97.5 points per contest. Miami has the second-best shooting defense in the playoffs, holding the opposition to 44.1 percent shooting. Miami also has the third-best three-point shooting defense as their opponents are shooting just 29.9 percent from beyond the arc. With that said, if playing well on defense does win championships, Miami is about to take the next step toward securing the team’s first title since 2013.
Player Prop Bet #1: Go with the over for Jayson Tatum if the predicted scoring average is 23 points per game or less. He is averaging 28.8 points per contest in the playoffs and he’s scored at least 23 points in each of his last four postseason games.
Player Prop Bet #2. Go with the over for Jimmy Butler if the predicted scoring average is 23 points per game or less. He is averaging 28.7 points per contest in the playoffs. And like Tatum, Butler has also scored at least 23 points in his last four playoff games as well.
Over/Under Prediction: Go with the over if the O/U prediction is 215 points or less. These teams are averaging a combined total of 215.5 points per contest.
Last updated: Jun 8, 1:35 AM UTC
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OnlineBetting.com NBA predictions for today, and every day, come from individuals who work in and around the league. They are known not only for their authority and knowledge but also for their track record of top-notch NBA picks and predictions.
Whether you are trying to put together a parlay, betting on the over/under, or simply taking a punt on the moneyline, we have the best picks for you.
NBA moneyline picks are the easiest NBA bets of them all.
Here, you are simply picking the team you believe will win any given game. For instance, if Luka’s Mavs are playing Giannis’ Bucks and you think Dallas have the advantage and you are getting good odds, then you would pick them on the moneyline.
In that example, if the Mavericks come out on top and defeat Milwaukee, then your bet is a winner.
If you are making NBA moneyline picks today or NBA moneyline picks tonight, then you should consider the form of both teams, the players who are available and what is at stake in the individual game.
In European betting, the spread is known as the handicap. For NBA point spread predictions, you are betting on a team to win by more than a certain points margin, or wagering that if you add a certain amount of points to a side’s total, that they will then have more points than the opposition.
An example of this would be if Boston were heavy favourites against Washington. Instead of betting on the moneyline, you could bet on the Celtics overcoming a spread of -16.5.
So you are wagering on Jaylen Brown and his side winning by at least 17. For NBA predictions against the spread in this example, you are betting on Washington +16.5. Here you are betting on Washington to lose by less than 17.
When an NBA expert picks against the spread, they believe that a game is going to be closer than the bookmakers are giving it credit for.
An over/under bet allows you to take a punt on whether you think the overall points scored in a game will be below or above a certain amount.
NBA over under predictions are made by looking at the scoring form of the two sides playing.
Our handicappers make their expert over under predictions by looking at that information, but also by considering how good the two defences are, if any of the teams’ key scorers are missing and how the overall formbooks are looking.
If you are set to make NBA over under predictions today, then we would suggest that you take a look at what our experts have to say.
NBA picks and parlays are the hardest bets to win on, but they also offer the largest odds. This is where you make multiple bets, all of which accumulate and can get you a much bigger win.
However, for a parlay to come good: each and every one of your bets needs to be a winner. If you are looking for free picks and parlays, then our expert advice should set you on the right course.
They know what a good parlay is, so take a look at their NBA parlay picks today.
A straight-up bet: who will win the NBA Finals and lift the famous Larry O'Brien Championship Trophy? The Milwaukee Bucks, led by power forward Giannis Antetokounmpo are the team to beat as they look to defend their championship.
Giannis Antetokounmpo took home his first Finals MVP trophy in 2021 after leading the Bucks to their first NBA Championship since 1971. As expected, this is always one of the most popular markets once the Final match-up is confirmed.
Outside of the everyday player prop wagers on specific players, NBA Finals betting offers unique proposition wagers on specific teams, players and series bets. You can place a wager on how many games a series will go and what the final score of that best of seven series will be, amongst many others.
Who do you think will win? If you want a simple way to bet on basketball, bet the moneyline.
Think you know how many points a team will win by? Find out how to bet the spread with our guide.
Find out why betting over/unders, AKA totals betting, is an important skill for any online bettor.
Get bigger odds and bigger returns - learn how to make the most of parlays.