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Serie A picks
Our home to regular Serie A picks and betting tips. Our Serie A picks hub features the best bets from expert handicappers and the best sign-up offers across a host of different sportsbooks for anybody interested in betting on Italian football.
Last updated: May 20, 10:31 PM UTC
Internazionale vs AC Milan (Saturday, 5 February)
Games don’t come any bigger than the Derby della Madonnina – the Milan Derby – which takes its name from the statue of the Virgin Mary that sits atop the city’s iconic Duomo, keeping watch over everything that happens beneath her.
This Saturday evening her attention will be drawn, as it so often is, to the Stadio San Siro, where Internazionale host AC Milan in another of the modern era’s most important meetings between the city’s red and blue sides, with a Serie A title potentially on the line again.
For much of the last decade, both Inter and Milan were a long way from where they both feel they belong, a Serie A was claimed by Juventus year after year. But now the two are challenging for domestic honors and participating in the UEFA Champions League again. And, with attendances jumping back up to 50%, fans of Serie A can again look forward to a spectacle on Saturday evening in a matchup with real ramifications for the title race in Italy.
Defending their crown
Serie A picks were once simple, as there was a nine-year period where if Juventus were playing, you backed them to win. Those days are no longer with us, but Inter are quickly becoming the team that people making Serie A predictions immediately look for as the weekend approaches.
The Nerazzurri welcome Milan as hosts in this one – even though they share a stadium - and it’s the first “home” derby they’ll have played since winning the Scudetto last summer – their first title win since 2010. Having drawn 1-1 in the “away” derby earlier in the season, they’ll be keen to flex and prove their superiority over their cross-city cousins once again.
Inter’s last and only Serie A loss this season came back in mid-October, and they have barely given their opponents a sniff in any of their matches since. Victories over Napoli, Roma, Juventus, and Lazio in that time and a pair of draws against Atalanta have cemented them as the team to beat in the Serie A title race. They did lose twice to Real Madrid in the Champions League, however, and European football’s imminent return has presented the Italian champions with a tricky run of fixtures, facing Roma (in the Coppa Italia semi-final), Napoli, and Liverpool in their three games after this weekend’s derby clash.
Head coach Simone Inzaghi will be sure to guarantee that his players don’t let their attention drift beyond the derby, though, as the Rossoneri will be ready to take advantage of any opportunity Inter affords them.
Their recent history bodes well for Nerazzurri supporters, with Inter losing just one of their last 11 Serie A games against Milan, that being a 2-1 defeat in October 2020 when Zlatan Ibrahimović scored twice to punish his former club.
Despite having found form over the last two years under Stefano Pioli, anybody who has been making Serie A predictions this season will know that AC Milan haven’t been quite as consistent as their league position might expect. They’ve drawn four and lost four already in Serie A this term, while their Champions League failure – where they finished bottom of Group B - highlighted some flaws in the team, though they haven’t been helped by countless injury crises.
Those absences are likely to play their part on Saturday as well, and Pioli is likely to turn to Pierre Kalulu and Alessio Romagnoli to be responsible for keeping the centre of their defence together, with Fikayo Tomori, Simon Kjær, and others still out. But, with Davide Calabria and Theo Hernandez expected to feature at full-back and Franck Kessié having returned from the Africa Cup of Nations, there is some good news for Milan fans.
Ibrahimović’s involvement remains a doubt at the time of writing, but Milan will be hoping to have the veteran forward fit to play. He has eight goals in this fixture to date – two of those coming for Inter – which leaves him behind only Giuseppe Meazza’s 12, Gunnar Nordahl’s 11, and Stefano Nyers’ 11 in the list of all-time Derby della Madonnina goalscorers.
With their last game before the international break being a drab and disappointing 0-0 draw with Juventus, Milan will be even more keen to have the Swede back in their starting XI, as they look to avoid the possibility of back-to-back Serie A games without a goal for the first time since February 2021.
Serie A picks:
- Both teams to score (-175)
- Over 2.5 goals (-150)
- Lautaro Martinez to score anytime (+140)
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